Amodei stands by his prediction that up to half of entry-level white-collar jobs could disappear within one to five years. He says this trend is already visible at Anthropic, where fewer junior and mid-level employees are expected to be needed in the future. According to Amodei, AI could outperform humans at most tasks within one to two years, but labor markets tend to react with a delay. His main concern is that the exponential pace of AI progress will outstrip society’s ability to adapt.

According to the leaders of DeepMind and Anthropic, changes in the labor market are already underway — not in theory, but in their day-to-day management experience. If even the companies building AI openly acknowledge a shrinking role for junior roles, the transformation is likely to be deeper and faster than most are prepared for.